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The edges that APs achieve by hole-carding Mississippi Stud can exceed 100%. James Grosjean Strategy Ultimate Texas Holdem - TOP-TIP 2022 . 300%) = 100. Lining up plans in New York? Whether you're a local, new in town, or just passing through, you'll be sure to find something on Eventbrite that piques your interest. The expertise to be found here spans the full spectrum of casino games, advantage-play techniques, and legal-wagering opportunities in the U. Once players have checked their cards they can choose to add. the community cards are 8s 9s 10s and player 1 has 6s 7s and player 2 has Js Qs. The increase in negative expectation would be quickly offset by the increased variance—something that gamblers love, hence the popularity of poker-based carnival games with top-heavy payout structures. 363). It sounds to me like that $6 strategy card from James Grosjean will pay for itself in an hour or less. The 888casino Ultimate Guide to Video Poker is the most extensive & comprehensive introduction to the casino game of video poker that you will find anywhere. Their answer: “ For blackjack, if you play $100 minimum for an hour, it’s 150 tier credits. Learn how to count cards. 22%. The house edge is about 2. The AP edge of 38. A game of Limit Texas Hold'em with blinds of $100/$200 certainly isn't cheaper than a No-Limit Texas Hold'em game with blinds of $1/$2. Then James Grosjean, author of Beyond Counting, created a strategy card for the game. In Ultimate Texas Hold'Em, the earlier you bet the more you can bet. In blackjack, the player may double or split with real chips or cash. The “carny” games are fun, but most are costly to play because the strategies are undefined. The dealer’s hand is compared to each player’s hand. James Grosjean Strategy Ultimate Texas Holdem : Lucky Zodiac. Like real Texas Hold 'em the player may bet his hole card, after the flop, and after the turn (but not after the river). EV raise = -1. com Page 2 of 9 Basic Strategy The fewer cards that have been dealt, the easier the strategy. Baccarat Edge Calculator — A macro-driven Excel spreadsheet that allows you to input any shoe configuration and compute the edge for the Player, Banker, Tie and various popular side bets. lv Casino - #1 Pick with 100+ Vegas Slots. Our assumption when we constructed the cards was that players would master the basic strategy before they went to the advanced strategy. James Grosjean strategy. Ultimate Texas Hold'em (UTH) is among the most vulnerable novelty games to hole-card play. 4% to the. Play. Bootstrap theme, medium style, simply perfect for bloggersA Story from Frank Kneeland. 1, or a 19. The description and rules of the game are found online. 7321% of the hands. Heads-Up Hold'em (HUH) is a novelty game with rules very similar to Ultimate Texas Hold'em (UTH) (see this post and this post). This computation shows a player edge of 38. Between the dealer's two cards. I put that hand into my Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em calculator and it said to raise. an Ultimate Texas Hold ‘Em player at Harrah's held the 10 and jack of spades and hit the Mega Progressive Jackpot for $918,430 when the dealer flipped over queen, king, and ace in the community cards. 986869 EV fold = -2 There are 19 outs, which is less than 21, so the strategy advises correctly in this play. Fixed-Limit Poker. The first edition was 223 pages and can be bought on Amazon, and this one triples that to 669, but is extremely difficult to buy. 2679% of the hands. Grosjean does not address knowledge of other players' cards. Tournament poker regs seem to nit it up and count on making it deep with premium hands. r/poker • 2 days ago. com The game also goes by the name Casino Hold'em® Open™. 95 each. Bonus Wild Poker: This game requires 10 coins per line bet. According to Advanced Advantage Play (Exhibit CAA) by James Grosjean*, with seven players and optimal strategy, the player advantage is 2. 489% for the AP who is edge sorting MS with the Jack, non-Jack sort. Perhaps you’ll make it someday too. 74% over the house using the practical strategy he provided. All sorts of products directly or indirectly relating to gaming are on display in the exhibit hall, including new slot and video poker games. James Grosjean Strategy Ultimate Texas Holdem - When using a dining room table for its traditional purpose, set the table with plates, cutlery, glassware, napkins, serving dishes, and a lovely centerpiece. 47% under Atlantic City Rules. 32%. but James Grosjean does in his book Beyond Counting (Exhibit CAA). Let’s get some balance and discuss hands played poorly so we can learn and grow into absolute savage beasts. D. ‘Triple Double Bonus’ is well liked by many ‘sharp‘ video poker players even though its returns aren’t anything special. Even though the Q-high wins the pot, both hands are straight flush. , with contributors including James Grosjean (AP, table games), Bob Dancer (video poker), Richard Munchkin (AP, author), Blair Rodman (poker), Frank B. This is how Texas Hold’em odds are calculated. Beginner Strategy. Ultimate Texas Hold 'em, to say the least, is one of the most popular poker games in the world. The earlier the raise is made the higher it may be. 5%, which are not be best odds ever, but not bad either. The expertise to be found here spans the full spectrum of casino games, advantage-play techniques, and legal-wagering opportunities in the U. Sal 22 July 2022 6 min read. While volume 1 was all about beginning game play, volume 2 teaches you how to play in the later phases when the blinds and antes are up and you can practically smell. Play Texas Hold’em and enjoy WSOP’s authentic features! Want to become a poker legend? The WSOP app is the right poker app for you! Use your winnings to buy into high-stakes tables and compete with real poker. . Ultimate Texas Hold ’em. Second, the presence of a ten reduces the chances for a high pair. If you bet early, you generally need better cards than you do if you’re one of the blinds. I often refer to this knowledge as "top carding," though the known card can be either player card. First, on the turn you must decide whether to put 1 play bet or fold if you have. S. g. read By Eliot Jacobson Ph. This is why the strategy for. The cards provide. ” 😂 I know ya’ll aren’t winning every session. Mississippi Stud is a well-liked and a simple poker-based table game by Scientific Games. Last Updated: February 15, 2022, 10:57AM PST | 7 min. Casino Hold'em® Dealt Face-up (aka Casino Hold'em® Open™). All Stories. 26%. Discover the best slot machine games, types, jackpots, FREE gamesJames Grosjean Ultimate Texas Holdem Strategy - Find honest info on the most trusted & safe sites to play online casino games and gamble for real money. Knowing one of the flop cards after the 4x raise bet (seeing no cards) but before acting on the 2x flop bet, the edge for the player is about 3. It is also one of my personal favorite games. The simplest strategy adjustments for JoB players to make when learning TBPP deal with aces. Put in any cards to determine the best play. The dealer begins each game by distributing these cards one at a time to each player, starting with the player in the small blind position. Millennial APs probably haven’t seen it, so here’s the IMDB summary: “An outcast secretly pays the most popular girl in school one thousand dollars to pretend to be his girlfriend for a month. Slots. (sports betting), and others. S. NOTE: These Table Game Strategy Cards strategy cards are also available individually, for $6. Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em offers a great value if you know how to play it properly. By Eliot Jacobson Ph. Deposit $10 & Get $50 Instantly. com Each comes with two cards, one that fits in your pocket and a second that’s small enough to carry in your wallet. These are usually triggered when three or more “scatter” symbols appear on the reels. The ultimate Hold 'em Texas is similar to regular Poker regarding standard poker rules. Game. I’ve had my ups and downs along the way. The player makes a 4x pre-Flop raise on 40. Don't Be The First Player To Limp. On a paired board, you call with and J high and T high if the pair is above a T. However, I would make the 2X raise with four-to-a-flush when I hold a 9 or better to that flush, because a flush is a guaranteed win in Heads-Up Hold'em but not in Ultimate Texas Hold'em. royal mint slot, grand casino mille lacs thanksgiving buffet, sky dancer casino in belcourt north dakota, jogadores de poker brasileiros famosos, wie viele karten bei texas holdem. 50% for all of your bets combined. It’s quite another to indulge in the game when sitting alongside James Grosjean. The expertise to be found here spans the full spectrum of casino games, advantage-play techniques, and legal-wagering opportunities in the U. These cards will pay for themselves in less than a day’s play with the savings gained by avoiding costly mistakes. Since players can choose to increase their bets, skilled players can have better results at the table. for this application. Test out your Ultimate Texas Hold'em strategy here. A: First things first. Their answer: “ For blackjack, if you play $100 minimum for an hour, it’s 150 tier credits. 104592. (sports betting), and others. When it comes to the other decision points, after you’ve checked the first time around, experts agree that James Grosjean’s strategy chart for Ultimate Texas Hold’em can be seamlessly adapted for use in Heads Up Hold’em. if the rat wants the cheese enough he will find a way. It’s actually a good way to help you learn and understand some of the plays. I just wanted to clarify that with optimum strategy, the house edge is 0. All due respect, but you put the wrong ten. There are also examples among hands known to be losers. They’ve also found particularly bad dealers who enabled them to make up. ”The expertise to be found here spans the full spectrum of casino games, advantage-play techniques, and legal-wagering opportunities in the U. Between the dealer's two cards and the five community cards, the player has seven opportunities to get some extra information. Going head-to-head against the dealer, you must form a five-card Poker hand (from your own two cards and three of the five. Poker Hand Rankings. “In for $1k, left with nothing. Membership Blackjack Poker Slots/Video Poker Race & Sports Crime and the Mob History Strategy Cards. Slots. The ten should be a heart. 62 cents. James Grosjean Strategy Ultimate Texas Holdem - Find honest info on the most trusted & safe sites to play online casino games and gamble for real money. The table for Decision Point 1 on page 3 represents perfect play for that decision, and should be memorized. . Once youve done some free Texas holdem poker practice, try playing for money later. Have every player prime the pot—a small amount of money for the table/pot before dealing any cards. , with contributors including James Grosjean (AP, table games), Bob Dancer (video poker), Richard Munchkin (AP, author), Blair Rodman (poker), Frank B. Ultimate Texas Hold'em® is a poker-based casino game in which the player may make one raise at any time during the course of the hand. com" printed on it. Players should keep their hole cards. Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em - Rules and Strategy Chart; Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em -- Auckland Variant; Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em (3x) Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em Advanced; Ultimate Texas Hold ’Em Appendix 1; Ultimate Three Card Poker; Video Poker — Probability of winning hand by number of cards held; Video Poker (Encrypted Version). Casino Royale – boat,quads, straight flush in Hold Em. We are going to remind you that the gameplay has the following steps: The client makes two equal bets (ante and blind). Advantage player extraordinaire, James Grosjean, remedies this by providing optimal basic strategies for Three Card Poker, Ultimate Texas Hold’em, Mississippi Stud, and nine other carny games that you’ll find on casino floors worldwide. If my history is correct, it started in Russia but has slowly made appearances all over the world since then, including the United States, Macau, eastern Europe. ) I have successfully modeled Mississippi Stud, which has a sequence of decisions that is similar to UTH -but that's only a 5-card stud hand that is compared to a payout table. According to the second edition of "Beyond Counting" by James Grosjean, this "simple strategy" results in a house edge of 3. For that reason, it is. Let’s assume that the house edge is 10% if you don’t know basic strategy. 300% Plus 40 Free Spins. Ultimate Texas Holdem - Play Online. Test out your Ultimate Texas Hold'em strategy here. The Wizard of Odds strategy calculator provides a basic strategy and a list of exceptions to that basic strategy. Optimum strategy is not too hard. Optimal Strategy. Between me and a few friends, we bought in for a total of roughly $5000 and cashed for about $7000 playing $5 and $10 bets. There are 3 decision points during the game of Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em: Pre-flop, the Turn, & the Showdown. Grosjean's strategy is 0. Your online casino play will earn you Caesars Rewards Tier Credits. A simple strategy to this game, first proposed by Stanley Ko, is as follows. The “Exhibit CAA” is an inside joke that is explained on page iv. Learn more about the strategy for ultimate Texas Holdem that you should be following so that you can win every game on GetMega!Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em calculator. S. Here is your ultimate Texas Hold'em poker cheat sheet. His strong grasp of mathematics enabled him to explore complex forms of legal advantage play in blackjack. But, there’s a difference between fire fighters, and fire-fighter. Click here to read Anthony Curtis’ review of this product. Ultimate Texas Holdem is a casino-banked version that uses Texas. 75 per shoe. Since this is the last round in Texas Hold'em poker players have a fair chance of turning the game in their favor if they bet according to the best strategy for ultimate Texas Hold'em: note never uses ‘UTH” ; needs to get his. Ultimate Texas Hold ‘em; Video Poker (Single-Hand) Video Poker (Multi-Hand) Jacks or Better; Double Double Bonus;. 899% edge). S. For that reason, it is important to understand the multitude of ways that UTH may be vulnerable to advantage play. com" printed on it. Without the A being penalized with some kind of flush card, even with two of the most severe kicker penalties, we hold the A by itself. For that reason, it is important to understand the multitude of ways that UTH may be vulnerable to advantage play. Sal 22 July 2022 6 min read. Ultimate Texas Hold ‘Em—85% . Royal Flush – 500:1. How do people (Babs and others) analyze Ultimate Texas Hold'em (UTH)? I model games as a hobby (always looking for an edge. In Hold’em, there are a 169 combinations of hands of you can be dealt, not including hands of the same suit. However, if you get lucky and beat the dealer with a hand that’s a straight or better, the blind bet amount will be paid out according to the following Ultimate Texas Holdem payout table. I have not yet done the work to quantify the edge or strategy. Become a card SHARK in Video Poker or Hold em. With the ability to make a Play bet that is 4x the player's original Ante bet, any extra information can be leveraged into a. EV raise = -1. Assuming no strategy changes, you get these spins once every 71 hands or so and the wheel ranges from 100 to 4,000 coins. Beyond Counting by James Grosjean Reply gadela08. — John Doe. WPT seems dead, UTH I still see around a bit. My contribution to VP strategy is to break hand to hold into buckets (3 buckets in this example): 1st bucket is premium hands, e. The house edge is roughly 2. 2632% of his hands. Now, in this round according to the strategy for ultimate Texas Hold'em Poker the bet is usually 1X the stake or fold. Grosjean is a staple at the Blackjack Cup, a tournament held at the. 47% under Atlantic City Rules. Ultimate Texas Hold’em: The Known Card. Bond gambling scenes are classy though. 1st Betting Round. Discover the best slot machine games, types, jackpots, FREE games Ultimate Texas Hold'em is a ShuffleMaster table game based on the popular poker game. As a player’s chip stack diminishes, the player goes through the yellow zone, the orange zone, the red. Slots menu : Game Type. 30:1. James Grosjean Strategy Ultimate Texas Holdem - Top Online Slots Casinos for 2022 #1 guide to playing real money slots online. Your Best Five-Card Hand. James Grosjean Strategy Ultimate Texas Holdem - Legal Online Casinos If you’re not physically located in one of those states, playing real-money online slots is technically breaking the law. James Grosjean Ultimate Texas Holdem Strategy - Our amazing Spins No Deposit offer at Daily Spins Casino. Format. You are competing against odds, some of the worst odds in a casino. D. In mathematics we have a Fundamental Theorem of Algebra and a Fundamental Theorem of Calculus, and so it seems only reasonable to end this overview with David Sklansky. Game selection is the process of choosing which game you’re going to play. 1867%. Feel free to use a strategy card. Best slot games. Ultimate Texas Hold’em Basic Strategy and House Edge; Ultimate Texas Hold’em Collusion; Ultimate Texas Hold’em Goof; Ultimate Texas Hold’em Hole-Card Play: One Dealer Card;. Go back to my Ultimate Texas Hold ’Em main page. The player and dealer are each dealt two cards face down. John Smith. The DG strategy is short and claims a house edge of 2. What you will not find among these books are any that cover advantage play against today’s modern casino table game pit, full of novelty table games and side bets. Which brings us to The Ultimate Report—"The Book” for Casino Carny Games. Bij ELK Studios heeft de speelervaring op Smartphones en Tablets altijd de eerste prioriteit gehad. Harrington uses a zone system to categorize a player’s current chip position. THB has the most complicated basic strategy of any casino. The general populace tends to view “table stakes” as standard for Texas Hold’em. Game Online. $3,000 Welcome Bonus. The earlier the raise is made the higher it may be. I highly recommend his strategy if you want. They’ve also found particularly bad dealers who enabled them to make up to $100,000 in a single hour. Μπορείτε να βρείτε περισσότερες πληροφορίες στον. The dealer at the Encore was less obliging so I didn’t get a picture there. Practice for the casino. the community cards are 8s 9s 10s and player 1 has 6s 7s and player 2 has Js Qs. Grosjean starts betting $5 or $10 per hand. Different games, but same "accurately ballpark" strategy. The earlier the raise is made the higher it may be. Upland, CA 91786. 94. , with contributors including James Grosjean (AP, table games), Bob Dancer (video poker), Richard Munchkin (AP, author), Blair Rodman (poker), Frank B. When playing any online casino game for the first time, it is best to start simple and then progress to more complex versions. This is usable to calculate your average bet and how many tier credits you could earn. The lurkers come out in full hater mode. That means per $100 in antes, your losses will average $2. A non-Royal straight flush is possible twice at an Ultimate Texas Hold'em deal, e. James Grosjean Ultimate Texas Holdem Strategy - Published Feb 19, 2022 7:00 AM Best Round: Rove Concepts Tulip Table James Grosjean Ultimate Texas Holdem Strategy : Shopping; Furniture; 3. The good hands will come, eventually, and you'll be in a better position to take advantage of them if you don't waste your chips trying to get something out of nothing. Element of Risk: 2. If you know when to hold ’em and when to fold ’em, the house edge is 2. Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em® appendix 1. A♠ A♥ A♣ 5♦ 5♠) or aces up (e. For Texas Hold'em tournament strategy, there exists a whole set of other. Account Wish; Casino 2023; Status; Shopping Cart; Search: Home; OurStore; Products; Services;Texas Hold 'Em Poker is a game that rewards good play. Ultimate Texas Hold’em Strategy Guide WizardOfOdds. 8% advantage. Ultimate Texas Hold’em Hole-Card Play: One Dealer Card. And it's constant. James Grosjean Strategy Ultimate Texas Holdem. I’m an older guy that played a lot (1,000 to 1,500 hours or so) in the 90’s using the Ultimate Gambit. 10 Quick Poker Strategy Tips. In the table titled Futility of Viewing Neighbors' Cards on page 333, Grosjean says the house edge with 21 known player cards is 2. Practice playing Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em with the Wizard's game which offers perfect strategy advice or select an online casino to play for real money. They’ve also found particularly bad dealers who enabled them to make up to $100,000 in a single hour. There’s an interesting post at Two Plus Two from a gambler describing his basic strategy for Ultimate Texas. Best Ultimate Texas Hold'em Strategy You should quickly get the hang of the rules of Ultimate Texas Hold'em by reading the rules above and potentially watching a few hands being played. The second and third decision points are influenced by the James Grosjean strategy, for which I have great respect, as I do for all of Grosjean's work. Learn the ins-and-outs of the Three Card Poker variant 6 Card Bonus, where you can find out the odds and strategy of this unique casino table game. James Grosjean. Jean Scott's Frugal Vegas. It wouldn't surprise me if jurisdictions that allowed these scam machines also allowed other types of rigged equipment. nieuwe vestiging holland casino utrecht The March 2008 UW Columns Magazine highlighted Al James, his path to success, and his gift back to the. But the swings of the game can be huge. Anything Grosjean writes is worth your time. There is a very slim possibility I might get a chance to play some Ultimate Texas Hold-em in a few days. 1: Don’t Stop Stealing the Blinds. #6: The Ultimate Cheat: Bonus Charts. 2% of your ante bet in Ultimate Texas Hold’em, but it decreases to 0. Here Grosjean gives some helpful hints on how players can extend their playing careers. If the player is allowed to raise 4x on the Flop, then the. Ultimate Texas Hold’em Hole-Card Play: One Dealer Card and One Turn/River Card. I highly recommend it. Strategy ultimate texas hold em grosjean james cardsTexas hold up Texas hold'em strategy – the perfect tips for beginners!Texas ultimate hold em rules chart strategy odds games game play wizard wizardofodds. Conor McGregor Next Fight James Grosjean Ultimate Texas Holdem Strategy : Play Now. 888 Gambling Articles. The table below shows the house edge of most popular casino games and bets. ShuffleMaster follows the standard 1-2-3-4-5-7-20-50-100 pay table. According to James Grosjean's Exhibit CAA: Beyond Counting, these two options, at some point, were merged together in a game he refers to as Pangaean Poker. His strategy cards can improve any player’s game regardless whether they are a novice or a professional. The player can either check or make an additional wager of one unit. The Call/Fold decision. . The main difference is who youre competing with. For games like Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em and Crazy 4 Poker, where there are two required initial wagers, the house edge is based on one of them only. 74%. 4. If you’re looking to improve your Texas Hold’em game, look no further! This handy Texas. The strategy for Ultimate Texas Hold’Em may be a little more advanced than other games on this list, yet if you’re one of those who are willing to put in the extra time to study optimal play, you will be rewarded with the highest RTP available at any of the FanDuel poker games at 99. 3. parx casino turf club, slot play tournaments las vegas casinos, casino alcohol, how to get diamonds in casino heist, champions online all character bag slot, how to be better at. Ultimate Texas Hold ‘Em is a casino poker game, meaning that it’s derived from classic player vs player poker, but instead the player plays against the house. See our Texas Holdem strategy guide for more information on limping. No Download is Required to Play. Search. . Watch More Content Here!!Twitch: (Require to Play Blackjack with us on Twit. On games like Texas Hold’em Bonus and Ultimate Texas Hold’em, opportunities to find edges over 20% are common. The cards provide strategies for Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em, Let it Ride, Caribbean Stud, Flop Poker, Mississippi Stud and others. 82%. In Vegas World casinos, the tables are always full! Get bonus. Adding the slot club return is reasonably certain, as almost always you know what it’s. Ultimate Texas Hold'em Rules. It’s funny, we rarely see posts here of the losses. Having a little fun here and talking about the LasVegasAdvisor. Both editions of Beyond Counting by James Grosjean cover Three Card Poker with lots of additional information. Bootstrap theme, medium style, simply perfect for bloggers Featured. James Grosjean Ultimate Texas Holdem Strategy : 10 Best Gas Ranges for Every Homeowner in 2022. Get up to C$675 + 250 Free Spins. At the very least, the online casino operators are violating the law by offering their games to people in the state. Practice playing Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em with the Wizard's game which offers perfect strategy advice or select an online. Usually, ultimate. Format. How to Play No Limit Texas Hold’emthe basic strategies of No Limit Te. (sports betting), and others. The AP edge of 38. Each comes with two cards, one that fits in your pocket and a second that’s small enough to carry in your wallet. Indeed, on page 371 of Exhibit CAA, Grosjean wrote, Admittedly, the strategy charts are messy. Grosjean does not address knowledge of other players' cards. In Let It Ride, if your first four cards are 9872, you can confidently retrieve your middle bet, knowing there is no river card that can salvage the hand. In this game, you get a wheel spin for natural full houses or better. Miller asks: What percentage of the time will the player. The casino will issue paperwork to the jackpot winner for the exact amount of the jackpot. There are some fabulous casino gamers who stream their slots action online for free. I love it: my old school friend/pit boss Frank Rajek giving ME the Strategy for Ultimate Texas Hold 'em: Raise 4x with a Q-6, - just as you would in three card poker, else check. 3286%. Here is a summary of the results from using computer-perfect play to hole-card UTH when the AP knows both dealer hole-cards: The player edge in UTH knowing both dealer hole-cards is 38. For the first six months of the Gambling with an Edge podcast, my co-host was Frank Kneeland. 1. In the basic strategy on the same card, SF4-1 is spelled out more (WW45-WW56, WW57-WW97). Harrington on Hold’em Volume 2 is the second book written by Dan Harrington and Bill Robertie and was published in 2005, a year after their first book in the series. Beat the house so bad you can buy the house! Get bigger and better items as you become a mega rich high roller. Shortly after that, the game debuted at the 2013 Global Gaming Expo before securing an M Luxury Resort Hotel Casino placement in Henderson, Nevada. Ultimate Texas Hold ’em NOTE: These Table Game Strategy Cards strategy cards are also available individually, for $6. Advantage player extraordinaire, James Grosjean, remedies this by providing optimal basic strategies for Three Card Poker, Ultimate Texas Hold'em, Mississippi. This means you get the same kind of entertainment for closer to 2/hour instead of 8/hour. Then James Grosjean, author of Beyond Counting, created a strategy card for the game. Using an ante is optional, but it keeps the pot motivating for everyone to try and makes sure pot size doesn't depend only upon the money wagered. This version also has the optional bonus jackpot bet. 5 percent of your total bets. Mike: Now, another thing I should say is before I said, I called this my 21 outs rule, I have to give proper credit to James Grosjean who created an even more powerful.